Alaska Senate: GOP Primary

Conducted: May 6-7, 2013
Respondents: 379
Margin of Error:  +/-5.03%

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Ballot Test: Palin Leads

Former Governor Sarah Palin leads a Republican primary ballot with the three most likely candidates: Palin, Lt. Governor Mead Treadwell and 2010 GOP Senate nominee Joe Miller.  Palin leads slightly among both men and women at +1% and +4% respectively.  Among voters who describe themselves as “very conservative”, Palin’s lead grows to 20% over Treadwell (43%-23%).

In a head-to-head match-up against Miller, who has officially formed an exploratory committee, Palin leads 52%-19%.  Treadwell leads Miller 45%-26% in a hypothetical match-up.

Conservatives' Pick

Additionally, the survey measured voter opinion about key characteristics of the three Republican candidates.  When asked which candidate would “fight hardest for conservative values”, voters decidedly chose Palin over Miller and Treadwell.

Among “somewhat conservative” and “very conservative” voters, Palin leads by +35% and +4% respectively.

When asked which candidate would be the “strongest person to take on liberal Democrats in Washington,” Alaska Republicans again picked Palin.

Candidate Images

Of the three candidates, Governor Palin boasts the strongest image with 62% of GOP voters holding a favorable opinion of her.