Colorado General Election Poll
July 7-9, 2016
Democratic Senator Michael Bennet is viewed favorably by a 13% margin and has 67% name identification among likely voters in the state (40% favorable/27% unfavorable). Bennet’s image is stronger among women (42% favorable/22% unfavorable/37% no opinion) than among men (37%/34%/29%).
Republican challenger Darryl Glenn has a net positive image (24%/14%/63%) but faces a name identification disadvantage. Glenn’s image is favorable among self-identified Very Conservative voters (54%/4%/42%), Somewhat Conservatives (34%/9%/57%) and Moderates (23%/13%/65%).
Senate Ballot Test
Democratic incumbent Senator Michael Bennet leads Republican Darryl Glenn 46%-40%. Glenn receives less support from Republicans (78%) than Bennet does from Democrats (83%), a result of lower name identification for Glenn among party voters. Bennet holds a comfortable lead among Democratic-leaning Moderates (32-48%) but Glenn narrows his lead to just 4% among Independent voters (33-37%). Among women, Bennet expands his lead (37-48%), while the race tightens to essentially a tie among men (43-44%).
Q: If the election for U. S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for: Darryl Glenn, Republican or Michael Bennet, Democrat?
Likely voters are split on whether Michael Bennet has “performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election” (38%) or whether “it’s time to give a new person a chance” (38%). Independents would prefer to give someone new a chance (28% deserves re-election/36% new). Women are more likely to believe that Bennet deserves re-election (43%/33%) and men are looking for someone new (33%/43%).
Q: Do you think Michael Bennet has performed his job as U.S. Senator well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it’s time to give a new person a chance?
Generic Senate Ballot
A Democrat has a narrow 2% lead on the generic ballot for Senate in Colorado (43% Republican-45% Democrat). Republican and Democratic voters demonstrate equal support for their candidates (Republicans: 85% Republican, Democrats: 85% Democrat). Independents narrowly prefer to vote for a Republican (37%-35%) while Moderates prefer a Democrat (32-48%).
Q: In an election for United States Senate, would you generally prefer to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?
A majority of likely voters have an unfavorable opinion of both Donald Trump (40%/54%/6%) and Hillary Clinton (38%/57%/5%). Majorities of Independents have a very unfavorable opinion of both candidates (Trump: 51% very unfavorable, Clinton: 54%). Trump’s image is the same net negative among both women (40%/54%) and men (40%/54%) while Clinton’s image is far weaker among men (35%/62%) than it is among women (42%/52%).
Presidential Ballot Test
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 7% in the race for President (45-38%, 14% someone else, 4% undecided). Clinton leads Trump by 12% among women (48-36%) while he narrows her advantage to 1% among men (41-40%). Democrats are somewhat more supportive of Clinton (84%) than Republicans are of Trump (75%, 14% Clinton, 9% Someone else), but Trump draws the race to a tie among Independents (33-33%).
Q: If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for: Hillary Clinton, Democrat or Donald Trump, Republican?
A narrow plurality of voters say they would be less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton if Governor Hickenlooper were to be selected as her running mate (40% more likely, 17% not sure). Nearly a third of likely voters would be much less likely to vote for Clinton with Hickenlooper on the ticket (32%) compared to only 20% who would be much more likely. Most voters who are undecided on the Presidential ballot would be less likely to vote for Clinton if she chose Hickenlooper (35%/49%). A majority of Democrats (64%/18%) and a near-majority of Moderates (49%/33%) would be more likely to vote for Clinton if she chose Hickenlooper as her running mate.
Q: As you may have heard, Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper is being considered for Vice President by Hillary Clinton. If Hickenlooper were selected, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton?
Results & Methodology
The sample size for the survey is 500 likely general election voters in Colorado and the margin of error is +/-4.38%. Interviews were conducted using live-callers with respondents on cell phones and Interactive Voice Response (IVR) with respondents on landline phones. The survey was conducted July 7-9, 2016 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.