South Dakota Senate Poll

The open seat of Democratic Senator Tim Johnson is rated one of the two most likely to flip control in the 2014 midterm elections.  Our survey finds Republicans holding a significant 46%-36% lead on the generic ballot.

Q. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you prefer to vote for: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?

However, the generic ballot improves markedly for Democrats in the dominant media market of Sioux Falls (41% Democrat, 40% Republican) and among women (42% Democrat, 40% Republican).  Fifty-four percent of independent voters favor “someone else” or are undecided.

Rounds vs. Weiland

Former Republican Governor Mike Rounds starts the race with a sizable 52%-38% lead over Rick Weiland, a former aide to Senator Tom Daschle.  Rounds has a 47% favorable-to-31% unfavorable image rating.  Weiland is still relatively unknown with only 49% name identification.

Rounds outperforms the Republican generic ballot by 7% as a result of winning the Sioux Falls media market (50%-41%), women (44%-43%) and independents (45%-28%).

Candidate Images

Syria

For those in Washington who ask whether the American people are paying attention to the situation in Syria, the answer is a resounding 'yes'.  In the heartland of America, a full eighty-eight percent of South Dakota voters are aware of the situation in Syria.  A mere 22% have not already formed an opinion about President Obama’s intention to conduct military strikes inside Syria.

Q. Have you seen, read or heard anything recently about the situation in Syria?

While not running quite as hot as constituent calls to congressional offices, a majority (52%) oppose military strikes as punishment for Syria’s use of chemical weapons.  Democratic voters support the President’s action against Syria (42%-31%).  Republicans and independents are strongly opposed 69%-15% and 69%-19% respectively. 

Q. As you may know, President Obama is asking Congress for the authority to conduct military strikes against the Syrian government for their use of chemical weapons in that country’s ongoing civil war.  Do you support or oppose the President’s proposal?

METHODOLOGY:
The sample size for the survey is 517 likely voters and the margin of error is +/-4.31%.  The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted September 4-5, 2013 by Harper Polling.  The total percentages for responses to any given question may not equal 100% due to rounding.