Conducted: June 17-18, 2013
Margin of Error: +/-4.77%
Wyoming Senate Republican Primary
Senator Mike Enzi begins a primary campaign against Liz Cheney with a substantial lead of 55%-21%. His lead is relatively consistent across most demographic groups with the exception of gender. Among men, Enzi leads 62%-18%. Cheney closes the gap somewhat among women, 48%-25%.
Q. If the Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you be most likely to support: Liz Cheney or Mike Enzi?
We caution that these numbers do not rule out a Cheney victory. What the poll does makes abundantly clear is that she is going to have to prosecute a vigorous case against the sitting Senator. Because the jury is skeptical at the outset that a change of representation in the Senate is needed.
Senator Enzi’s image among state Republicans is overwhelmingly positive. Seventy-six percent have a favorable opinion of the Senator. Perhaps more pertinent is the fact that remarkably few GOP voters (6%) hold a negative opinion of Enzi. Seventy-three percent give Enzi a positive job approval rating. However, 25% of those voters are reluctant to say that Enzi deserves reelection. Overall, 48% believe he deserves reelection while 28% believe they should give someone else a chance.
Cheney starts the race with a very respectable 45% to 15% favorable-to-unfavorable image rating. Fifty-two percent of self-described “very conservative” voters and 43% of “somewhat conservative” voters have a favorable opinion of Cheney.
The Cheney name is in very good standing among Wyoming Republicans. Seventy-four percent have a favorable opinion of former Vice President Dick Cheney.