New York Post - Battleground-district poll shows Trump’s path to victory — but problems for down-ballot Republicans

While the vast majority of congressional seats are not in play this fall due to partisan apportionments, a number are considered battlegrounds nonetheless.

And in those districts, spread across Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Iowa, Nebraska, New York, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Virginia and Washington, the race is tight at the top of the ticket and in the battle for control of the House.

Not even 1 percentage point separates Kamala Harris (48%) and Donald Trump (47.3%) in head-to-head polling of 1,503 likely general-election voters Cygnal conducted in those districts Sept. 11 through 13 — and shared early with The Post.

Yet Brock McCleary, vice president of polling, says the metrics are overall encouraging for Trump and potentially troubling for Democrats down the stretch. 

“While Harris enjoys a post-debate bump across these battlegrounds, Trump’s numbers have remained stable since March. The biggest delta in this data is the job approval of Trump’s time in office versus the current Biden-Harris administration. This provides a clear path for Trump to win by contrasting how voters felt about their circumstances, and the direction of the country, when he was at the helm,” McCleary told The Post exclusively Tuesday.

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